Thursday, May 12, 2011

Secularism the key to Arab democracy

May 12, 2011


By Fadi Hakura

SPRING has come early this year to the Arab world. Political climate change has awakened the once comatose Middle East from the stupor of singular leaderships. A new dawn of democracy and freedom is sprouting from Morocco to Oman. Or so we are told.

Weather forecasting is a tricky business. Future projections can be horribly inaccurate. Despite sophisticated models and satellite imagery, deciphering weather patterns is an inexact science. Fortune-telling the Middle East is no less an illusory mirage in the squelching heat of the Arabian desert.

Democratic pluralism is never a foregone conclusion. Challenges to the old order cannot guarantee linear outcomes. Although Egypt's Hosni Mubarak is past tense, the state apparatus he built is certainly not. Yemeni and Libyan tribalism will not disappear with regime change. Sunni-Shi'ite sectarianism will remain a defining feature of Bahrain, Iraq and Lebanon. Religious minorities will fret about governance by Islamic parties, moderate or otherwise. Factionalism will continue tearing Palestinian unity apart.

History teaches us that free and fair elections alone will not cure the steep divisions in Arab societies. Indeed, they will probably exacerbate them. Shorn of feelings of national solidarity, narrow sectional interests may dictate voting patterns. A crucial piece of the puzzle is missing. Without it, the Arab countries will have the edifice of democracy but not genuine representative institutions.

That crucial (missing) piece is secularism, a principle that girds most vibrant democracies - the belief that the state should exist separately from religion or religious beliefs. Governments should not privilege one religion over another nor derive policy from a particular religious source. They should be equidistant from all religions, effectively blind to someone's religious persuasion.

Secularism is a misunderstood concept in much of the Middle East, a legacy of the Cold War. Arabs confuse secularism with atheism, understanding it to mean freedom from religion rather than freedom of religion. More damaging is secularism's association with past regimes in Egypt and Tunisia, both known for their containment of Islamic movements. However, these very regimes mobilised religious fervour through state propaganda and lavish budgets to maintain favour with electorates.

Egypt is debating the role of religion in society as it considers a new Constitution. Article Two of the current Constitution, introduced in 1980, defines Islam as the state religion and 'the principal source' of law. While Coptic Christians demand its abrogation, overwhelming Muslim opinion supports its retention. Copts see the article as exclusionary and divisive. They want a civil state based on citizenship, not on affiliation to a specific religion.

Lebanon and Iraq have taken institutionalised confessional politics to new heights. Their sectarian-rooted democracy reserves the highest offices for representatives from certain religious communities. Naturally, they have achieved a fragile social peace at the expense of nationhood. In the timeless words of Lebanese poet Kahlil Gibran: 'Pity the nation divided into fragments, each fragment deeming itself a nation.'

The Pew Research Centre, a respected international pollster, provides ample evidence of the benefits of separating religion and state. It showed in a 2009 survey that liberal secular democracies exhibited the least government restrictions and public hostility to minority religions. Arab countries, as well as Iran and Turkey, demonstrated the diametric opposite. Secularism protected minority beliefs; the integration of religion and government is a harbinger of civil strife and discrimination.

This study also revealed that many types of secular democracies preserved religious diversity. Secularism is flexible enough to accommodate different national circumstances. Take France, for example. It traditionally opposes any state religion or overt displays of religious symbols. Nevertheless, religious minorities are allowed to flourish in a permissive environment. Or take England. Though the Church of England is the established church, a wide array of faiths enjoy near unlimited freedoms. There is, in other words, no single model of democratic secularism, provided tolerance is respected.

Flexible or not, nurturing secularism in the Arab world is a tall order. Like democracy, it is a process, not an event. Secular democracy requires a transformation of cultures and mentalities. This will not be easy, even in the best of times. Yet, it is the only ideal that can prevent the onset of a severe Arab winter.

The writer is manager of the Turkey project at British-based think-tank Chatham House. This article is the second in a 12-part series.

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