Showing posts with label Sex. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Sex. Show all posts

Thursday, November 2, 2023

Man offered S$2 to sex worker instead of agreed fee in repeat offence, gets jail

The Australian woman, who was in Singapore for a holiday, charged S$700 per hour.

[Note that she is described as an "Australian Woman". Not "Australian Prostitute", or "illegal foreign sex worker." No judgement here.]



Lydia Lam

31 Oct 2023


SINGAPORE: A repeat offender on remission for refusing to pay sex workers after obtaining their services struck again, this time targeting an Australian woman who was in Singapore for a holiday.

Wednesday, February 9, 2022

Peng Shuai’s Weibo Post (with translation)

[Disclaimer: My Mandarin is VERY limited. So I cannot attest to the accuracy or veracity of either the original post, or the translation. Peng Shuai may well refute either the authenticity of the (alleged) Weibo post (but she has not!), or the translation or misunderstanding (which she has, but only to state generally, that it was an "enormous misunderstanding" but has not provided any specifics, or even the purpose of the Weibo post. So here's the text (in Mandarin) of her (alleged) original Weibo Post, and the translation provided by "What's on Weibo"]


Full Text Translation of Peng Shuai’s Weibo Post   

In a previous post, What’s on Weibo gave a partial translation of Peng’s Weibo post. Here, we will provide a full translation. Please note that this is a translation provided by What’s on Weibo and not an official translation issued by any other party.  

Wednesday, September 30, 2015

Elderly prostitutes reveal dark side of South Korea's rise

September 25, 2015

SEOUL — As about a dozen elderly men loiter in a small plaza near a cinema, mostly chatting or watching people pass by, several deeply wrinkled women stroll among them, trolling for customers willing to pay for sex in nearby motels.

"Hey, do you want to go with me? I can treat you really well," a 76-year-old woman with a limp says as a reporter approaches her on a recent sunny afternoon.

Monday, February 10, 2014

Study sheds light on sex trafficking in Singapore

 Feb 10, 2014

Victims either lured here by friends or were already prostitutes elsewhere


By Toh Yong Chuan And Janice Tai

AN INDEPENDENT study of sex trafficking victims has shed some light on the murky world of the unregulated sex trade here.

It found that victims from the Philippines were lured to Singapore by friends and acquaintances on the pretext of jobs such as waitressing and hostessing, before ending up in nightclubs.

Some Indonesian victims, meanwhile, were already prostitutes in Batam before coming here to ply their trade on the streets and budget hotels, under the watchful eyes of local pimps.

The 144-page study, released last week, was conducted by Singapore-based academic Sallie Yea, an assistant professor of geography at the National Institute of Education, who interviewed 87 women tricked into coming to Singapore.

Saturday, April 2, 2011

Interesting Perspective

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/vicky-collins/prostitution-in-perspecti_b_842826.html

Extract from link above:

The point of this blog is that this journey opened my eyes to the humanity of women who do this kind of work. Before I criss-crossed Nevada visiting brothels I had a predictable response to prostitutes. They were messed up and misguided. Who could possibly do this kind of work? Why would anyone sell their body to a stranger unless they needed the money to finance a drug addiction? They must have a crushing amount of baggage that would lead them to this lifestyle. And, of course, many do. But the ladies we met in the rural and suburban brothels that dot the landscape were attractive, smart, friendly, savvy, confident and defied stereotypes. Most were not fallen women without other options. Many were educated and had goals in mind. They were wives and mothers. This was a means to a different end. And at least in the brothels, pursuing their careers as independent contractors, they were confident and satisfied. Now I'm certain the lives of women who do this illegally, on the streets, is much more dangerous and seedy. But in the safety of the legal brothels we found women who do this with class and dignity.

Friday, February 4, 2011

10th male punished for sex with girl, 13

Feb 3, 2011
UNDERAGE SEX

NSF had known the age of teenager he befriended three years ago, through a website

A FULL-TIME national serviceman yesterday became the tenth male to be punished for having sex with the 13-year-old girl who in 2008 told police of her sexual encounters with several men.

Mohamed Radhi Mohamed Kamis, 20, was placed on 15 months' probation. He was 17 in March 2008 when he twice had sex with the underage girl.

He had earlier admitted to one charge of having sex with the girl. The other charge was taken into consideration.

Last month, Community Court Judge Ng Peng Hong had postponed sentencing, pending both probation and reformative training reports on Radhi.

The court heard that some time in February 2008, the victim and Radhi became acquainted through Alamak Chat, a social networking website.

They exchanged phone numbers and sent text messages to each other. They knew each other's ages. He also told her that he was studying at Ang Mo Kio Institute of Technical Education.

On their second meeting on March 14, they went to her home and had sex in her bedroom. No one else was in then.

The victim was warded in hospital for stomach pain and vomiting in July that year. She was confirmed to be pregnant and subsequently told a police officer that she had engaged in sex with several males.

Her pregnancy was terminated and Radhi was found not to be the father of the foetus.

So far, five men have been jailed for having sex with her; two were fined; and two other youths were put on probation.

Yesterday, Deputy Public Prosecutor S. Sellakumaran urged the court to order probation of 15 months for Radhi instead of the nine months recommended by the probation officer.

He pointed out that two others had been put on 15 months' probation and that Radhi committed the offences while serving probation for a previous offence of unlawful assembly.

Judge Ng agreed with the prosecutor. In addition, Radhi will have to do 100 hours of community service and remain indoors from 10pm to 6am. His parents were bonded for his good behaviour.

He could have been jailed for up to five years and fined up to $10,000.

ELENA CHONG

[I'm currently reading the Tipping Point by Malcolm Gladwell, and he presents an interesting case that is similar. For the HIV infected in one area, there were 168 main persons whose behaviour were spreading the disease. Similarly, there was a case of a Canadian flight attendant who estimated that he had 2500 partners in over a period of a few years and had infected them with HIV. All it needed was just a few key persons to push things past the tipping point. This girl here seems to be one such key person. Maybe not for STD, but for underage sex?]

Wednesday, December 29, 2010

The girls are not so innocent: Readers React

Dec 29, 2010
 
By Lee Jia Xin

THE two girls who were aged 12 and 15 when they were involved in the case where a National Institute of Education (NIE) trainee had sex with them a few years ago, are not as innocent as they seem.

This is the overall view of straitstimes.com readers when they reacted to the media reports on Wednesday.

Aaron Kok Chun Cheong, 23, a second-year trainee at NIE, was sentenced to 15 months' jail on Tuesday.

He committed the offences in 2007 and 2008 while serving national service.

Many argued that the girls were complicit in the act, especially the then-12-year-old girl who had multiple sexual partners.

'The (then) 12-year-old girl is not innocent because she had a few partners and even became pregnant (with one of them, and not Kok himself),' said Gladys Dee.

[Comment: So kids want to play computer games all day long. Should adults play with them? Kids wanna try alcohol, should adults let them. Kids want to have sex with you, should you? Kids are impulsive and immature. Adults have a responsibility to them. Taking advantage of them is wrong. Justifying your actions because they initiated it is just an excuse.]

Echoing her sentiments was HS Ng who felt that the girls were not gullible but fully aware of their actions, and added that sex among teenagers is so 'rampant' these days.

But others are concerned about how teachers seem to be in the news lately as evidenced from the ex-MOE scholar Jonathan Wong, who was arrested in the United Kingdom for possessing child pornography.

Another reader Jacq Oh worried that 'paedophiles are infiltrating the teaching population as a means to reach out to their prey'.

Reader Siti Nor'aini Abdul Samat joined in the call for NIE to be more stringent in their candidate selections.

A Ministry of Education spokesman said it would initiate disciplinary proceedings against Kok, with a view to terminating him from service.

She said the ministry adopted a stringent recruitment process to ensure that suitable applicants with a passion to teach are selected, apart from academic qualifications.

Saturday, December 18, 2010

Kidney recipient finds out donor is wife's lover

18, 2010

Man jailed, fined for attacking guard and threatening bystanders in angry rampage

By Khushwant Singh

A BUSINESSMAN with end-stage renal disease was saved from death by a kidney donation from a man who was a friend of his wife.

His gratitude turned to anger and depression when he found out about a month after the operation that the good Samaritan was actually his wife's lover.

Worse was to come.

The donor turned out to be the father of his four-year-old daughter, too.

According to documents tendered in court, the businessman was at work on Sept 1, 2008 when he got a call that his wife and his kidney donor were inside his Chiltern Park Condominium apartment in Serangoon Avenue 3.

The man - a wholesaler in soft drinks and alcoholic beverages - decided to confront them.

He was in his lorry, making deliveries with a driver. He told the driver to stop the deliveries and take him home. When the driver left, he took over the wheel.

At about 9.30pm, he drove the vehicle into a service road along the condominium, against the flow of traffic, and parked it also against the flow of traffic.

Police investigations showed that a condo security guard told him to park the lorry at a carpark nearby. The businessman said that as a resident, he could do what he liked.

Sensing that the man was drunk, the guard walked away, but the man chased him and punched his head.

Three young men who were inside the condominium came to the guard's aid. The businessman threatened to run them over with his lorry. He also threatened to use his lorry to hit a van driven by one of the men, which was at the time parked in the grounds.

The businessman returned to his lorry, drove three times round the road in front of the condominium lobby, colliding into railings and walls. He then crashed his lorry against the van till the van rolled down a slope before hitting a wall.

Yesterday, the 47-year-old businessman - who cannot be named because doing so would identify the daughter - pleaded guilty to the rampage and was jailed six months and fined $3,500.

When convicted two months ago, he had also pleaded guilty to refusing to provide a blood specimen for analysis at a hospital on Sept 2, 2008. He also admitted to threatening to punch a police officer in October 2008, and insulting another officer in May last year in separate incidents.

The Singaporean man - who is tall, slender and with lightish brown hair - is appealing against the sentence and is out on $15,000 bail.

In court yesterday, defence counsel Kertar Singh urged the court to 'temper justice with mercy'.

'All the offences have one common thread,' he said in his mitigation plea. 'They occurred due to our client's marriage problem.'

He said the man got married in 1998 and 'it was a love marriage'.

[As opposed to an arranged marriage?]

'The parties were compatible and they had a happy blissful married life for the next 10 odd years.' When the wife gave birth to a baby girl in 2006, 'their happiness seemed to be complete'.

The man had suffered from renal failure problems for a decade. At the start of 2008, his condition worsened. He underwent dialysis and was told he would need a kidney transplant.

He sought a living donor here and in India, and that was when his wife introduced him to a man whom she said was an 'old classmate' who was 'like a brother to her'.

The classmate was willing to donate a kidney and their blood groups matched. The businessman was very grateful and 'purely out of goodwill', offered to start a small business for the donor, said Mr Singh. This was a shop in Little India selling alcohol and beverages, the business he was himself in.

The transplant operation on July 29, 2008 went well. The donor was discharged in early August and the businessman one week later.

The donor went to stay in the couple's apartment to recuperate as his family was not aware he had donated a kidney, said the lawyer.

When the businessman went home, the donor was still there. While both men were recovering, the businessman noticed his wife was more concerned about her friend than in him, said Mr Singh. And when he returned to work soon after the discharge, the donor - who is married - continued to stay at his house.

'This incensed our client somewhat and he questioned his wife,' said Mr Singh. The couple quarrelled and the wife threatened to leave with their daughter. She eventually did this.

Mr Singh said that after she left, the businessman contacted her sister to find out where she was.

'It was at this stage that he learnt the bitter truth. He learnt that an illicit affair had been on going between (the donor) and his wife for the past many years.

'He also learnt that his wife could not leave (the donor) as he was the father of their child. Our client was devastated on hearing all this. Who would not be?'

The wife returned to the matrimonial home for a short period later but relations were very strained.

On the evening of Sept 1, the businessman received a telephone call from a neighbour's maid that his wife and the donor were in his home.

[Why was the neighhour's maid spying for him?]

'Nothing affronts the ego of a man more than being cuckolded and that in his own home and perhaps even in his own bed. The saddest aspect was that the perpetrator was the man who had saved his life,' said Mr Singh.

He said that while the man was in the lorry, 'he was thoroughly confused, shaken and in a dilemma'. This was when he picked up a bottle of whisky - he had been in the process of delivering soft drinks and alcoholic beverages - and 'gulped it down'.

The lawyer said that his client was heavily medicated then because of the recent transplant, and this combined badly with the whisky, and affected him.

Outside the courtroom, the man's elder brother, 58, said: 'If he goes to jail, he won't make it.'

Mr Singh had told the court that the businessman had just been hospitalised for pneumonia from Nov 30 to Dec 8 and 'his condition remains fragile'.

khush@sph.com.sg

[Man, this is going to make one great Bollywood drama! better than fiction. Interesting that the lover would be a compatible donor for the man. Perhaps at some DNA level, the woman has a preference for men of the same biological attributes?]

Dec 20, 2010 Update

'I wouldn't have accepted kidney if I knew it was from my wife's lover'

By Kimberly Spykerman

IF HE had known the kidney that gave him a new lease of life was donated by his wife's lover, he would never have accepted it.

'I said to her, if there's something going on between you two, tell me. I don't want his kidney, I can do with dialysis my whole life,' the 47-year-old told The Straits Times yesterday from his bed at Mount Elizabeth Hospital, where he has been warded for a pneumonia relapse.

'She told me no and insisted I take the kidney.'

The Singaporean businessman attacked a security guard and threatened bystanders while on a drunken rampage two years ago, after he learnt the kidney that saved his life came from his wife's lover.

The man had suffered from renal failure problems for a decade. At the start of 2008, his condition worsened. He underwent dialysis and was told he would need a kidney transplant.

His wife then introduced him to a man whom she said was an 'old classmate' who was 'like a brother to her'.

But he found out later that the donor was his wife's lover, and the father of his four-year-old daughter.

The man, who cannot be named to protect the identity of the child, was sentenced on Friday to six months' jail and fined $3,500. He is appealing against the sentence, and is out on $15,000 bail.

A day after the sentencing, he was taken to hospital after experiencing severe chest pains.

He had been warded earlier this month for pneumonia and had been discharged three days before his appearance in court.

Looking thin and frail, he said of the night of his rampage: 'I don't remember much.

'All I knew then was that the guy who is having an affair with my wife - his kidney is in my body.'

That pains him as much as the fact that the child he loves is not of his own flesh.

He found out about the affair in May last year - after his wife served him divorce papers - and there was a tussle over the custody of the child. He admitted, though, that his suspicions surfaced much earlier.

A DNA test showed that the kidney donor is the biological father of the child.

Tears welling up in his eyes, he recounted how he felt when he first saw the report.

'I broke down. When you sleep in the same bed from the time she is a little infant and you watch her walking, and falling down, how do you think it feels?'

He added that he still loved the little girl and wanted her back in his life.

'But the child cannot have two fathers. Either he walks away, or I walk away,' he said quietly.

He said he had already suspected before his operation in July 2008 that his wife was having an affair with the donor.

He claimed she had got rid of the phone and computer in their home so he could not track her calls and e-mail messages.

The two would also often go to clubs together and she would return only in the early hours of the morning, he said.

But his wife insisted in an earlier interview that she had not been in a relationship with the donor, and the child had been the result of a one-night stand with her former classmate.

The kidney recipient - a wholesaler in soft drinks and alcoholic beverages - had gone on a rampage in September 2008.

He was in his lorry, making deliveries with a driver when he got a call telling him the donor and his wife were at their matrimonial home.

In a fury, he got his delivery driver to take him home to Chiltern Park condominium in Serangoon Avenue 3.

There, he took over the wheel.

'I opened the back of the vehicle and there was a bottle of whisky. How much I drank I don't know; I just needed to settle my problem,' he said.

He ended up punching a security guard, crashing his lorry into another van, and threatening three young people who came to the aid of the guard.

When asked about how his marriage had been up to the point he discovered the infidelity, he said tersely: 'We were happy.

'But I don't want to see her any more.'

Friday, August 27, 2010

Man on rape trial wants lawyer

Aug 27, 2010

By Khushwant Singh

AFTER three days into trial, an odd-job worker accused of sexually abusing his daughter for more than 10 years told the High Court on Friday he wanted a lawyer because he was unable to conduct his own defence.

The man's father, a taxi driver, then came forward to say that the family would approach a law firm.

Deputy Public Prosecutor Leong Wing Tuck left it to the court to decide on an adjournment but pointed out that the trial was in an advanced stage, having heard testimony from the victim.
Justice Tay Yong Kwang adjourned the trial till Monday. The judge however reminded the man that the court had inquired repeatedly at the start of proceedings if he wanted legal representation.

The accused had said he could not afford to hire a lawyer and the Law Society's Criminal Legal Aid Scheme had rejected his application.

Insisting that he was able to act for himself, the trial proceeded on Monday. On Thursday, the man appeared to find it difficult to challenge the testimony of his daughter, who is now 17, and attending a private school.

He has two other children, who are both in primary school. His other daughter, 12, was to take the stand on Friday.

The man faces three charges of rape and one charge each of oral sex and molestation between 1999 and last year. It is believed he started when his eldest child was only six. If convicted of these offences, he could be jailed for life and caned.


Aug 27, 2010
Teen confronts rapist father

By Khushwant Singh

MID-WAY through her testimony, the prosecutor asked the 17-year-old rape victim to look into her father's eyes and repeat her allegations against him.

Sobbing, she did just that.

'Yes, he raped me,' she told the High Court of her 34-year-old father, an odd job worker accused of sexually abusing her for over 10 years.

She told the High Court she sacrificed her happiness as she was aware that telling anyone about the sexual abuse she suffered from her father would tear up the family.

Her only happy moments were when she and her younger siblings went out shopping with their parents. 'Only then could I feel the warmth of family life but once at home I would have second thoughts because of what was happening to me,' she said between sobs.

Earlier, the secondary school student told the court how the sexual abuse started in 1999 when she was only six years old. He made her perform oral sex on him.

A year later, he raped her twice in the living room of their rented flat. She had not even reached puberty then.

[Innocent until proven guilty, so I will not assume guilt. But if the man is indeed quilty of the crime, then it is unconscionable for him to pursue a trial and force his victim to testify in court. ]

Monday, March 22, 2010

Blame the woman, spare the man

Mar 18, 2010
CONFUCIANIST VIEW

By Andy Ho

FILM-MAKER Jack Neo's infidelity has been in the news of late.

Some applaud the dignified manner in which Madam Irene Kng, his wife of 27 years, has conducted herself. Others, however, are disappointed that she has not displayed more visceral anger at her husband's behaviour. The other woman - who exposed Neo - has also been excoriated.

It is as if men were innately and naturally promiscuous, so that must be Neo's only shortcoming. His wife had no one to blame but the other woman, not her adulterous spouse.
The usual reason given for Madam Kng's quiet forgiveness is that a successful man's marital infidelity has historically been tolerated in Chinese culture. According to the late Robert van Gulik, a noted sinologist, writing in his 1974 book, Sexual Life In Ancient China, sex was regarded in Chinese culture more as a natural appetite 'than a social encounter'.

Thus, sex was not associated in the Chinese mind with moral guilt as long as the consort and venue were appropriate. That would be a household of san qi si qie or 'three wives and four concubines'. And that with 'five generations' under the same roof too, according to Olga Lang in Chinese Family And Society. This ideal, of course, was achieved only by really wealthy men.
In Confucianist thought, the family unit was more important than the individual. Sex was mainly for procreation whereas overly strong marital ties were frowned upon as they were thought to weaken the parent-son relationship. That would undermine filial piety, thus jeopardising the stability of the family.

Having more female sexual partners around meant that no single woman would monopolise the husband's affections. In this way too, the stability of the family would be maintained.
What we might call 'familism' was the linchpin of Confucianist society, which stressed proper relationships. What should guide relationships between ruler and ruled was care and trust; between father and son, affinity; between husband and wife, a division of roles; between the older and the younger, respect; and, between friends, fidelity.

In practice, it was the male who really mattered in any relationship. This meant that females were, by and large, dominated and marginalised. Socialised into a subjugated role, Chinese women were rendered more tolerant of their straying husbands than they would have otherwise been.

It remains somewhat that way still today. In a survey two sinologists carried out in the mid-1990s in Taipei, Guangzhou, Shanghai and Beijing, most respondents felt that the wronged party - usually the wife, of course - ought to remain patient and do her utmost to persuade the wayward spouse to return.

A 2004 study carried out in Hong Kong and published in Counselling Psychology Quarterly reported that Chinese women chose to shoulder an overburdened gender role. They tended to blame what they saw as their own inadequacies as wives and mothers as the reasons for marital problems and family difficulties.

But would this Confucianist view of gender relations still matter so much in westernised Hong Kong or Singapore, what with girls having equal access to schooling and jobs? Significantly, women still bear the brunt of family responsibility in these societies - even if they are employed outside the home as well. Madam Kng, for example, says she was very busy with Neo's business affairs as well as the children.

Because the fact that the wife has to shoulder two roles goes largely unrecognised institutionally, women can hardly renegotiate these roles. In this way, Confucianist attitudes do continue to impact the ability of most Chinese wives to cope.

Modernisation has moved spousal infidelity from the domestic realm (concubines) to the world of commerce (office affairs). Though extramarital affairs affect the domestic realm, they can no longer be incorporated into and be managed within it as in the days of yore. Now the other woman remains a problem to be dealt with outside. But since men are not really at fault - being naturally promiscuous, according to Confucianist understanding - the fault still lies with women.
Whether it is the wife who is responsible for the domestic conditions that impel her man to play the field or just that the other woman had set out to seduce a married man, it is still women who are really at fault. The real enemy of the woman with an unfaithful husband can never be her man - even if she were to catch him in flagrante delicto. It is always the other woman, all feminist notions of sisterhood being moot. We are still as Confucianist as ever.

Unsurprisingly, a 2002 study published in the journal Sex Roles found that mainland Chinese men preferred pretty, chaste and healthy women who were less educated, less intelligent, or had less promising careers than they did. Conversely, mainland Chinese women preferred men who were smarter and financially stable.

Meanwhile, there are also modern, financially independent women with their own careers who are willing to get involved with married men for the romantic intimacy, without eventual marriage in mind. Men thus - even if they were not all wealthy or powerful - are presented today with even more opportunities for extramarital involvement.

Ironically, modernisation in Confucianist cultures thus works hand-in-glove with feminism to undermine women further.

Rejoice, Jack.

andyho@sph.com.sg

Sunday, March 14, 2010

All about Jack

These are the most popular stories of Straits Times online for Sunday 14 Mar. They are all about Jack.

Most Popular

   1. We had sex in car
   2. Jack Neo admits affair
   3. Tried to break up 30 times
   4. Jack Neo will tell all
   5. Fans let down by Jack Neo
   6. I won't return to Jack Neo
   7. 2nd woman claims tryst
   8. More women linked to Neo?
   9. We wanted to shame him
  10. Mitsubishi drops Jack Neo

Sex sells.

Tuesday, March 9, 2010

Jailed for sex with minor

Mar 8, 2010
By Khushwant Singh

A 14-YEAR-OLD student, eager to work as a part-time sales assistant to earn some pocket money, posted her curriculum vitae on the Internet on Oct 22, 2008.

The next day, Sheik Esmail Raja Abdeen, 28, a director of shipping agent Far Eastern Services, sent her a text message hiring her to 'accompany a man'.

He picked her up in his car at the Kembangan MRT station at 4pm. At a multi-storey car park in Marine Parade, she agreed to have sex with him for $600. He also filmed her performing fellatio on him.

Later, he handed over $50, promising to transfer the rest into her bank account.

Six days later when the money did not come, she went to the police.

A district court on Monday jailed Sheik Esmail 1 1/2 years. He was also fined $2,000 for having four obscene video filmlets on his cell phone.

[Here is an example of poor reporting and/or failed justice in Singapore. We want to know, did she get the rest of the $550?!?!? Did the Judge remember to set this right?!?!

Lessons to be learnt:

a) there's a reason prostitutes don't give credit.

b) If you're going to have illegal sex (underaged sex) have the decency to fulfil your promise or she might report you and you will get in trouble with the law.

c) penny-wise pound foolish. Saving $550 cos you're a cheapskate could mean 18 months jail and $2000 fine. And your job. And your salary. Don't be cheap. More important, don't be a cheapskate criminal.]

Monday, March 1, 2010

Teen sex: It's up to parents to draw the line

March 1, 2010

Lowering the age of consent will only worsen the problem
By Sujin Thomas

'GIRLS are so modern these days!'

That's an exclamation one hears often from older folk. They don't mean to be flattering.

It seems girls here are so 'modern' they are having sex at a younger and younger age. Teenage sex seems to be on the rise, with no signs of abating, never mind that sex with girls under 16 is illegal, and sex with girls under 14 is considered statutory rape. Males, old or young, will get the book thrown at them if they have sex with an under-16 girl.

The United States and Britain set the consent age at 16, but no one would realise this, given the sex and pregnancy figures among teenagers. A study in the US last year showed it had the highest levels of teen pregnancy among developed nations. Nearly half (46 per cent) of all 15- to 19-year-olds in the US have had sex at least once.

Britain has the highest teenage pregnancy rate in Western Europe despite official campaigns to reduce the problem. According to The Telegraph, six under-15 girls become pregnant every day.
It would appear then that having a consent age is no barrier to teen sex. In fact, some countries like Peru have thrown in the towel so to speak, by lowering the age of consent.

In 2007, Peruvian lawmakers lowered the age of consent from 17 to 14. An overwhelming majority of legislators - 70 out of 80 - voted in favour of the change.

After all, why should the law intervene when nature takes its course? Most of the males who had sex with teenage girls were not paedophiles but youngsters.

Why penalise two people who think they are in love? Aren't teenagers getting more mature over time?

The lawmakers said that the change would bring Peru in line with 'the progress and development of a modern society'.

They also argued that there were cases of young girls getting pregnant but not seeking proper medical help because they feared their partners would be prosecuted by the law. Why risk pushing teenage girls to have backyard abortions because they want to protect their lovers?

So what should Singapore do as our teenagers go the way of teenagers in other so-called 'modern' societies?

The usual answers are trotted out: More sex education in schools, more communication between parents and children, more awareness of the risks of indulging in promiscuous sex.
All wonderful, though not original, ideas. But here's a thought as to why we should pursue these answers further. It all boils down to this: What sort of society do we want to become?

The good news, if it can be considered as such, is that six out of 10 statutory rape cases here involved young girls having sex with their boyfriends. These are young males, between 13 and 19, not dirty old men or paedophiles who prey on girls.

Many of these cases have never even been heard in court as the males were also teens. In such circumstances, the boys - who claim to be in love with the girls - may be counselled or let off with a stern warning.

The authorities do make a distinction between puppy love and paedophilia. Older males are prosecuted under the Penal Code, which carries a maximum sentence of 20 years' jail and caning.

Can one conclude that most of the teenagers who claim to be in love merely stumbled over the consent age? Should we look more kindly on them? If their bodies have matured, perhaps their minds have too.

Lawyer Subhas Anandan says he has handled about 20 cases of statutory rape over the past five years. The young girls involved in these cases were often well-endowed and appeared more mature than they really were.

That is, until they opened their mouths to speak.

'I could immediately tell when they spoke that they were not in a proper frame of mind to make good decisions,' Mr Subhas said.

Nor do teens know enough to protect themselves against disease. Sexually transmitted infections (STIs) have been on the rise among teenagers here. In 2008, 791 teens were diagnosed with STIs at the DSC Clinic in Kelantan Lane, more than three times the 238 cases in 2002.

There is reason to doubt if many teenagers even know that sex is illegal for them. For many parents, however, teenage sex is still taboo. According to the police, most police reports of sex involving teenagers were filed by parents of the underage girls.

A girl losing her virginity too early or being promiscuous is still considered unacceptable behaviour. And randy young men who cannot discipline themselves and their bodies are 'bad boys'.

But will that continue to be the case when these children grow up and become parents themselves? Or will the effects of pop culture overcome what is now considered unacceptable behaviour?

It is not uncommon to watch movies and television programmes where strict parents are viewed as unreasonable people when they circumscribe their teenage children's movements and friendships and draw the line at sexual intimacy. They usually receive some sort of come-uppance or go into throes of regret because of their strictures.

The 'good' parents are those who accept - ultimately, at least - the foibles and follies of their pregnant daughters and their boyfriends. They become premature grandparents, and throw a loving family circle of warmth around all.

If Singapore wants to stay the way it is, then parents - not police - are the thin blue line. Yes, the issue is moral - unless Singapore society finds rising rates of unwanted pregnancies, teen mothers and sexually transmitted diseases acceptable.

sujint@sph.com.sg

[This article is kinda pointless. It has a point, but it doesn't fight very strongly for it. Basically, it is to say, don't lower the age of consent. I agree. But if I didn't agree, it wasn't very convincing argument.]

Friday, September 4, 2009

UN sex education guide draws flak

Sep 4, 2009

Unesco drawing up new draft after conservative groups find it too explicit for young kids

PARIS: The United Nations' educational body has been forced on to the defensive after proposed international sex education guidelines aimed at protecting young people from the human immuno- deficiency virus (HIV) were attacked by conservative groups.

The guidelines are scheduled to be released by the United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organisation (Unesco) in a new draft next week after the first draft was withdrawn.

The plan is to then distribute them to education ministries and school systems around the world to help guide teachers in what to tell young people about their bodies, sex, relationships and sexually transmitted diseases.

'In the absence of a vaccine for Aids, education is the only vaccine we have,' said Mr Mark Richmond, Unesco's global coordinator for HIV and the acquired immune deficiency syndrome (Aids), and the director of the division that coordinates educational priorities.

'Only 40 per cent of young people aged 15 to 24 have accurate knowledge' of how the disease is transmitted, he said, even though that age group 'accounts for 45 per cent of all new cases'.

But conservative critics say the programme would be too explicit for young children and promotes access to legal abortion as a right.

And the criticism has already led to the agency removing a June draft of the guidelines from its website, delayed the release of the final document, and caused one of the key participating and donor agencies to pull out of the project.

The UN Population Fund has also asked that its name be edited out of the published material, officials said.

A Population Fund official said on Tuesday that the fund wanted changes to the text, 'so it may better serve countries as guidelines for use in national educational systems'.

A team of Unesco experts has been working on the guidelines for two years, drawing on more than 80 studies of sex education, at a cost of about US$350,000 (S$506,000).

According to the International Planned Parenthood Federation, each year there are at least 111 million new cases of sexually transmitted diseases among people aged 10 to 24; 10 per cent of births are attributed to teenage mothers; and up to 4.4 million women aged 15 to 19 seek abortions.

But Unesco's June draft was attacked by conservative and religious groups, mainly in the United States, for recommending discussions of homosexuality, describing sexual abstinence as 'only one of a range of choices available to young people' to prevent disease and unwanted pregnancy, and suggesting a discussion of masturbation with children as young as five.

'If you ever have a situation where kids need to be taught earlier than their adolescence, this is not the way to do it,' said Mr Colin Mason of the Population Research Institute, an anti-abortion organisation based in Virginia in the US.

'It is very graphic and encourages practices like masturbation, which conservative Christians and others feel are wrong.'

He also said the diversity of views around the world on these issues renders any universal approach culturally insensitive.

A Unesco spokesman said: 'Unfortunately, the way the guidelines have been presented by certain media has provoked some fairly aggressive reactions.'

NEW YORK TIMES

[Josie and her Pussycats can set their sights on their next target: UNESCO!]

Saturday, May 2, 2009

Should faith-driven groups take over secular organisations?

May 2, 2009

The showdown between the old and new guard at women's group Aware takes place today at Suntec City. Whatever the outcome, the saga is leaving an indelible mark on civil society as an instance in which a secular organisation found itself taken over by a group with a common religious background and purpose. Political correspondents Aaron Low, Jeremy Au Yong and Zakir Hussain analyse the issues.

THE battlelines have been drawn, wits sharpened and the arena prepared.

Today, more than 1,000 people are expected to converge at a Suntec City exhibition hall to fight for control of one of the most established civil society organisations here, the Association of Women for Action and Research (Aware).

On one side are the ousted leaders of Aware, backed by former Nominated MP Braema Mathi and Constance Singam, who feel robbed of the work they have been doing for 20 years.

They were overthrown on March 28 by a group of relative unknowns who had executed a coup to snatch the leadership of Aware from under their noses.

This group of women had one thing in common: a spiritual mentor in the person of Dr Thio Su Mien, a born-again Christian, prominent corporate lawyer and first woman dean of the law faculty at the National University of Singapore 40 years ago.

All bound by a common stand against the practice of homosexuality, they accuse Aware of having veered towards the promotion of a gay and lesbian agenda in recent years, and declare they want nothing more than to 'return Aware to its original purpose' of championing women's rights.

What appeared at first to be an internal squabble in a women's group has exploded into national consciousness, with a number of government leaders commenting on the issue.

Whatever the outcome today - resolution, compromise or just more fighting - the Aware saga has made a deep and lasting impact on civil society.

It has sent other groups scampering to barricade their constitutional backdoors, as Insight reported two weeks ago.

It is also shining a bright light on the role of religion in the public sphere. Specifically, should religious groups, or groups with religiously-motivated agendas, take over secular organisations?

Has the line between religion and secularism been blurred? Did the Aware coup set a dangerous precedent?

Religious group or concerned citizens?

GOING by emails to the media and public discussion, there is growing discomfort with the new leaders at Aware, particularly over suggestions that the group had been motivated by a religiously inspired ideology.

A common sentiment expressed is that it cannot be good for a multi-racial, multireligious society like Singapore to have certain religious groups pushing so strongly in public space on certain issues.

And if indeed the takeover of Aware, a secular organisation, was motivated by religion, then it is a real concern, says Singapore Management University assistant law professor Eugene Tan.

'If they are, then we are witnessing an aggressive and insensitive form of proselytisation in which the secular domain is seen as an extension of the religious sphere,' he says.

But the picture is not all that clear, say observers.

The links to religion are certainly present: Many of the new guard leaders worship at the same church, the Anglican Church of Our Saviour.

Their anti-homosexual stance, which they have made no secret of in recent days, is similar to their church's stand.

The church's Senior Pastor Derek Hong last week urged its members to support the new exco by signing up for membership at Aware so that they can vote for the new exco at the EGM today.

In a sermon he gave, Pastor Hong said homosexuality is a sin, according to the Bible, like stealing or adultery, even though homosexuals themselves should be treated with love and kindness and helped to overcome their affliction.

'It's not a crusade against the people but there's a line that God has drawn for us, and we don't want our nation crossing that line,' he said in his sermon.

However, while these links are clear, they do not by themselves prove that the new exco is or will be guided by a religious agenda. More concrete evidence is needed before that conclusion can be drawn.

Dr Thio on her part tells Insight that the actions of the new leaders were motivated by fear of what they believed to be happening in other countries, namely the destruction of the traditional notions of family and marriage.

In the United States and Europe, for instance, the homosexual lobby is engaging in a political campaign to, among other issues, decriminalise gay sex and establish same-sex marriages, she argued.

The new exco in Aware does not wish to have marriage redefined as 'between two men or between two women or indeed between three women and three brothers or between a brother and a sister', says Dr Thio.

The 71-year-old who claims to be the 'feminist mentor' of all working women in Singapore, not just the new exco in Aware, believes there is a 'political homosexual movement which seeks to infiltrate into Singapore'.

'It is a kind of neo-colonialism which we do not want, more so in our jubilee year of internal self-government,' she says, referring to 2009 being the 50th anniversary of Singapore's self-government.

Catholic priest John-Paul Tan points out that there is a difference between a religious group and a group of individuals with similar religious views on issues.

Most of the members of the new Aware exco, headed by president Josie Lau, may belong to the same church, but it does not mean that as individual citizens - even if informed by the same beliefs - they cannot contribute to a discussion in civil society, he notes.

National University of Singapore sociologist Alexius Pereira agrees, noting that so far the new leaders appear simply to want to remove 'homosexuality and gay issues from Aware'.

But rather than execute a stealth operation to remove the old leaders, they should perhaps have aired their differences in public and held open debates on the issue, says Dr Pereira.

Tensions

WHETHER or not it was religiously motivated, the Aware takeover begs important questions about religion in the public sphere.

The involvement of Pastor Hong, who used his pulpit to urge church members to support the new exco, raised a number of eyebrows.

As one reader of this newspaper noted, 'Can you imagine if another religious leader were to ask his members to vote for a certain MP because they are of the same religion?'

On Thursday, the National Council of Churches in Singapore came out to decry the involvement of churches in the Aware saga, even as it also staked a claim for individual Christians - 'like all concerned citizens' - not to be precluded from involvement in public sphere discussions.

People continue to believe that there is a religious agenda behind the takeover, even if it may not be the case, says sociologist Mathew Mathews.

'There seems to be discomfort that this is a group seemingly motivated by religious ideals. A Christian group that is perceived to be fundamentalists with very strong views,' says Dr Mathews, a visiting fellow at the NUS sociology department.

Tension can arise not only between those on opposing sides of the gay issue, but also between Christians and other Singaporeans.

The takeover of Aware could set a dangerous precedent, a worrying prospect given the multi-religious and multi-racial society here.

Illustrating this point, Mr Kelvin Teo, a writer on the NUS students' online news portal, the Kent Ridge Common, gives a hypothetical example: 'If a Buddhist organisation runs a sexuality programme that discusses the issues in the same way Aware did, would the Christian group feel threatened and take over that organisation like they did with Aware?

'If there is such a takeover, there could be consequences as far as inter-religious relations are concerned. A controversial precedent, no?' the 28-year-old medical journal writer said.

This is a danger the Government has long been mindful of.

In 1990, the Government tabled the Maintenance of Religious Harmony Bill to regulate aggressive proselytisation and ban the mixing of religion and politics.

In arguing for the law, then First Deputy Prime Minister Goh Chok Tong laid out the Government's concerns: 'We were not concerned with the rise of religious fervour per se, but worried that such a trend in a multi-religious, multiracial society might lead to a clash between religions.'

In other words, if pushed too hard, other religions might push back, with disastrous consequences.

It was precisely because of this that Mr Rustom Ghadiali, president of the Inter-Religious Organisation (IRO), felt 'a little uncomfortable' about the Aware episode.

'I don't think religious groups should get involved. Today, (members of) one religion want to take over an organisation. Tomorrow, some other religion may feel that they want to get involved and also want to take over,' he says. 'This will affect our racial and religious harmony.'

Even among Christians, some are discomfited.

A handful of self-declared 'moderate' Christians have voiced their concerns online.

NUS assistant professor of literature Gwee Li Sui is one of them. In a note that has been circulating on Facebook, Dr Gwee, 39, says he is a 'Bible-believing Christian for 25 years' who is 'shocked, angered, and saddened by the takeover'.

He urged Christian women who may have signed up to support the new exco to reconsider their decision.

By supporting the exco, he said, they are supporting the 'quasi-corporate act of infiltration, with related strategies of secrecy, disinformation, moral coercion, and fear-mongering'.

Some 400 people have written on Facebook in support of Dr Gwee's note.

Speaking to Insight, Dr Gwee says he was motivated to speak out publicly because the incident is causing tension within the religion itself.

'The Christian majority has been silent too long: while many are concerned, because the main figures are Christians, nobody wants to be the one to get on a soapbox and say the truth,' he says.

Blurring the lines

FOR a country that believes in the strict separation of church and state in politics, the actions by the new leaders may also be ringing a discordant note.

The Government has made it clear that religion and politics cannot be mixed.

Community Development, Youth and Sports Minister Vivian Balakrishnan had three pieces of advice for those in Aware, namely: Don't let a single issue hijack the agenda; keep religion above the fray of petty politics; and form a rainbow coalition if you want to make meaningful change in Singapore.

Indeed, many see the incident as blurring the line between religion and politics. As Dr Mathews notes, there are people who see it as a move by a group of Christians to 'moralise society according to their norms'.

'When it comes to issues of morality, when the church champions certain types of morality, people get uncomfortable,' he says.

Religions have been vocal on issues that they consider to be in the realm of morality.

In 2003, a group of Christians mounted an e-mail campaign when the Government said it was hiring gays to work in the public service.

Religious groups, including Christians, Muslims and Buddhists, also aired their objections to casinos when the issue was debated in 2004 and 2005.

Religious leaders stress that religions have a part to play in the public sphere, but must accord respect to all.

Father John-Paul says that if society wants its best for its citizens, it must cast its net wide to include as many opinions as possible, including those from different religions and value systems.

However, religion does not and should not impose its values on others, he says.

If this is not respected, then it 'may result in religious conflict between religions or individuals', says Venerable Seck Kwang Phing, secretary-general of the Singapore Buddhist Federation.

Drawing lessons for politics

IF THERE is a positive that can be drawn from this incident, it is that awareness of and participation in civil society have jumped a notch.

On the social networking site Facebook, for instance, several groups have formed around the issue.

Ms Claudia Tan, 31, learnt about the Aware incident through Facebook and has signed up as a member of Aware.

A Christian, she says she understands the new guard's viewpoints but disagrees with its methods.

'I don't like how they have done it, and I don't agree with how they are portraying an aggressive side of the religion,' says Ms Tan. She will be siding with the old guard.

Going forward, SMU's Dr Tan believes this episode is indicative of the growing complexity of the political landscape.

He says: 'While racial, religious and linguistic identities are still pertinent, the contestation will shift towards more subtle forms of differences. It will centre around value systems, and how the support of or objection to such value systems will be fought over.'

Religion remains important and will continue to be powerful moral anchors for society here.

But as Singapore gets more diverse, debates over issues, including those of morality, will naturally get more complex and even uncomfortable.

But no matter how ugly the debates become, they should always be conducted with respect, and honest and open communication in the public space that is common to all, regardless of religion.

Will today's Aware EGM live up to this?

aaronl@sph.com.sg

jeremyau@sph.com.sg

zakirh@sph.com.sg

Friday, May 1, 2009

Churches: Don't get involved

April 30, 2009
AWARE COMMITTEE SAGA

By Zakir Hussain , Wong Kim Hoh

THE National Council of Churches of Singapore (NCCS) says it does not condone churches getting involved in recent matters related to the Association of Women for Action and Research (Aware).

In a statement on Thursday, it said it did not condone pulpits being used for this purpose.

'Our member churches are not involved in the present saga. In fact, our heads of churches have very recently reiterated to their clergy the standing instruction on the proper use of the pulpit,' said the statement issued by Archbishop John Chew, president of the NCCS, and Mr Lim K Tham, NCSS general secretary.

The NCCS brings together Christian groups like the Anglican, Methodist, Presbyterian, Salvation Army and Syrian Orthodox churches, among others. Dr Chew is also the head of the Anglican church in Singapore.

Last week, it emerged that staff and members of the Church of Our Saviour in Margaret Drive, which is under the Anglican communion, were encouraging people to join Aware and support the new team in the society's leadership dispute.

They said the old team at Aware had been promoting lesbianism and homosexuality, a charge the team has rejected.

In a weekend sermon, Senior Pastor Derek Hong urged the women in his flock to 'be engaged' and support new president Josie Lau and 'her sisters' at Aware.

The NCCS said it had been following the recent events related to Aware.

'We are concerned that religion has been dragged into the unfortunate situation. The matters related to Aware should be solved by its own members,' it said.

Some Christians are however uncomfortable that the saga has thrust their religion in the limelight, for the wrong reasons. In blogs and forums, many Christian netizens said religion has no role in secular organisations.

April 30, 2009
Not 'normal alternative lifestyle'

By Nur Dianah Suhaimi

THE Church of Our Saviour takes a stand against those who promote homosexuality as a 'normal alternative lifestyle'.

In a statement to the media on Thursday, its senior pastor Derek Hong said the acceptance of such practices goes against biblical teachings and erodes family values.

'Accepting homosexual practices and endorsing any education programme that teaches our children that such practices are neutral or normal, would lead to the erosion of the sound family values on which Singapore society has been built,' he said.

But he stressed that the church is neither anti-homosexual nor does it have an agenda against homosexuals.

'We believe homosexuals should be extended understanding, kindness and love like every other human being. No homosexual should ever be deprived of any right enjoyed by every other Singaporean,' he said.

There has been much speculation that the church, in Margaret Drive, was involved in the Aware leadership takeover on March 28.

Six of Aware's new executive committee members, including president Josie Lau, are part of the church's 4,000-strong congregation.

Dr Thio Su Mien, a well-known lawyer who claims to be the 'feminist mentor' to these six women, is also a member.

She said Aware's sex education programme in schools encouraged lesbianism and homosexuality.

Although the church has denied its involvement in the saga, online sites are abuzz with news that a pastor has written an e-mail rallying people to attend Aware's extraordinary general meeeting (EGM) this Saturday and vote for the new exco.

[At issue is public space. We are defined by our faith, our religion. We cannot act in contradiction to our faith and our religious beliefs. However, the contraints and restraints that we need to recognise and respect is how we persuade and convince others that our faith, or beliefs are correct or relevant in public discourse.

For secular organisations, rational arguments relying on logic and shared assumptions have to be the basis of decisions and policies. It is not enough to resort to religious dogmas and doctrine as basis for decision. If so, then the secular organisation in effect becomes a religious-based organisation.

Talking about homosexuality as being not normal promotes anxiety and negativity towards homosexuals and undermines the platitude of "understanding and love" for homosexuals. You cannot promote both. "Hate the sin, love the sinner" is idealistic at best, and hypocritical at worst. How can one "understand homosexuality", but already prejudge it as not normal? This implies that one "understands" homosexuality, not on impartial facts, or with an open mind, but on pre-determined terms. That's not understanding.

Thio Su Mien's comments were telling in her sweeping statements about lesbians being sexually abused as children. So every father of a lesbian daughter stands accused of and is pre-judged as a child sex abuser. Very understanding of them.]

Tuesday, April 21, 2009

Alcohol no excuse

April 21, 2009
UNDERAGE SEX

PARIS - GETTING drunk, even rip-roaring drunk, is no excuse for a man mistaking an underage girl for an adult, according to a study released on Monday.

But the new study, led by Vincent Egan from the University of Leicester in Britain, shows that even when thoroughly soused, a man remains a shrewd judge of female maturity.

The researchers asked 240 people, half men and half women, to look at a series of 10 photos of 17-year-old girls and then comment on their age and attractiveness.

Some of the photos had been digitally enhanced to add makeup, or make the young women look older or even younger.

All of the respondents were heterosexual adults, but only half had consumed alcohol before taking the test.

The results showed that alcohol slightly impaired the ability of women to see past the digital manipulations.

But the men, no matter how much they had boozed it up, remained keen judges of age.

'The study suggests that alcohol consumption and make-up use do not interfere with how old we perceive someone to be,' Mr Egan said in a statement.

'Even heavy alcohol consumption ... is not of itself an excuse for apparent mistaken age in cases of unlawful sex with a minor.' The findings held true across all age groups, ranging from men in their 20s to men in their 60s.

Nor does peering through a drunken haze enhance the attractiveness of the person one is looking at, an effect sometimes called 'beer goggles,' the study concludes.

'Overall, participants who drank alcohol actually rated all the women in the photos as less attractive,' Mr Egan said. -- AFP

Thursday, April 9, 2009

Chimps swap meat for sex

April 9, 2009

BERLIN - THE way to a chimp's heart is through her stomach, German researchers revealed Wednesday.

A study by scientists from the Max Planck Institute in Leipzig has shown that female chimpanzees are more likely to mate with males who share food with them - findings that could shed light on relationships in primitive human societies.

'We show that female wild chimpanzees copulate more frequently with those males that, over a period of 22 months, share meat with them,' said Cristina Gomes, the author of the study.

The results of the research, published in the journal PLoS One, 'strongly suggest that wild chimpanzees exchange meat for sex, and do so on a long-term basis,' she said.

Dr Gomes and her team studied the mating patterns of a group of 49 chimps in Ivory Coast for three years and also monitored whenever males shared the proceeds of their hunt with females.

'We found that females copulated more frequently with males who shared meat with them at least on one occasion, than with males who never shared meat with them, indicating that sharing meat with females improved a males' mating success,' the report said.

The researchers believe the findings could shed light on human relationships in primitive 'foraging' societies.

'These findings are bound to have an impact on our current knowledge about relationships between men and women,' Dr Gomes said.

Evidence from studies on human hunter-gatherer societies suggest that men who are more successful hunters have more wives and a larger number of offspring, the scientists added.

Dr Gomes said she wanted to conduct further research on primitive humans to see whether there is also a link between 'reproductive success and good hunting skills.' -- AFP

[Slutty Chimp whores!
:-)
Humans have got it down to a science.]

Friday, April 3, 2009

Insurance tools can reveal more about sex offenders

April 2, 2009

By Andy Ho

SERIAL sex offender Bala Kuppusamy, 48, was recently sentenced to 42 years. First convicted in 1987 and sentenced to 11 years, he was released in 1992 only to reoffend 45 days later. Convicted again in 1993 and sentenced to 23 years, he was again released early. Within 41 days of his release in March last year, he sexually violated three women again.

Relying mainly on clinical judgments to determine who is more likely to relapse, prison authorities tailor preventive treatment accordingly. Moderate risk offenders undergo four months while high risk ones undergo six to eight months of treatment. However, low risk convicts are exempted from treatment. Yet 6.9per cent of the low risk ones re-offend within two years.

Making treatment decisions based on clinical judgments for which there are no confirmatory lab tests may be improved if augmented by a more accurate and structured way of assessing the recidivism risk.

Ideally, clinicians must be able to articulate how they arrive at their conclusions and enumerate the factors upon which they base their recidivism predictions for any particular case. But how they turn such information around in their heads is a process that can hardly be ferreted out by outside observers.

In fact, cognitive biases are known to plague clinical judgments. One is the tendency to collect data that you hope will support your preferred hypothesis and not collect data which you think might contradict it. This is called the confirmatory bias, which may also cause you to interpret the data you collect in ways that support your pet hypothesis rather than an alternative and plausible explanation.

But such things are hard to pin down, so it all comes down to an expert's credibility. In the past 15 years, however, several actuarial instruments have been developed to objectively assess the risk of future sex offences. Locally, both clinical assessment and actuarial instruments are used to assess their risk level when sex offenders enter prison.

These actuarial instruments are based on a method used by insurance companies to measure risk. First, the characteristics of recidivist sex offenders are identified. These risk factors are then linked to real outcomes (actual rates of recidivism), so a quantitative measure of future risk for a person with a particular cluster of characteristics can be defined. These traits may include deviant sexual arousal as measured by penile engorgement, a history of substance abuse, placement in residential care in childhood, and so on.

Such actuarial instruments have been tested for accuracy in many empirical studies. These studies, in turn, have been reviewed by, among others, Canadian crime prevention authorities in 1997, 2002, 2004, and 2007. Strikingly, all these reviews came to the same conclusion.

In 2002, reviewers found that 'one of the most consistent findings is that evidence-based, actuarial measures are more accurate in the prediction of...recidivism than professional, clinical judgment'.

In 2007, reviewers opined: 'Given the weight of evidence supporting them, we believe actuarial risk tools should be a major consideration in the evaluation of recidivism risk potential.' Similar analyses of these empirical studies that academics have carried out agree.

While a clinician may weigh causal factors wrongly and/or inconsistently, actuarial instruments are based on empirically observed relationships between predictors (measurable offender characteristics) and real outcomes (recidivism rates) over a follow-up period. Moreover, different experts can use the same instrument to verify its reliability, so you don't have to take assessor ability on faith alone.

But do such instruments identify the actual risk a particular sex offender poses? In Preventing Sexual Violence (American Psychological Association, 2005), author John La Fond, who is a law professor at the University of Missouri-Kansas, argues that it is unfair to keep a person in jail just because he 'looked like' others in a group with the same score.

Yet, apart from wild guesses, all predictions in the real world do refer to the behaviour of a relevant group. Supposing a desperately overweight smoker whose father died at 55 from a massive heart attack sees a doctor who says to him: 'Group data says you are at high risk of dying from a heart attack. But, as an individual, you needn't worry about it.' Any court would find that doctor negligent.

In many things, then, we predict our individual risk from the appropriate group risk. Even in sexual recidivism, clinician predictions are also based on a convict's similarities to other known recidivists. The clinician who has seen 500 cases (and presumably compares the present case with them) is considered to be more credible than one who has seen only five cases. But the clinician cannot describe those 500 cases that guide him in the case under consideration. By contrast, actuarial instruments rely on explicitly identified reference groups and unambiguously enumerated rules about how conclusions are reached. Hopefully, the use of actuarial instruments to augment clinical assessments of recidivism risks will, over time, improve decision making as to which convicts require treatment and for how long.

andyho@sph.com.sg